Introduction - Ukraine Conflict Monitor

This is Ukraine Conflict Monitor (UCM), a newsletter published by Rochan Consulting about the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

We initially set up the UCM to fill a gap in high-quality OSINT reporting on Russian military preparations, the movement of troops, the order of battle, and everything that pertained to preparations to attack Ukraine. Indeed, from late November 2022, our baseline scenario was that Russia would invade Ukraine. Throughout the build-up phase, we tracked Russian troop deployments and assessed the probability of an attack.

This Substack provides a weekly, in-depth and up-to-date analysis of the ongoing war in Ukraine, delivering four very detailed reports (30 pages each) to subscribers for just USD 6.14 per month.

This information is valuable for anyone interested in staying informed about the conflict and its impact on the region and beyond.

By subscribing, you'll receive high-quality analysis and insights that are not readily available through other sources, providing a comprehensive understanding of the situation in Ukraine, Russia, and Belarus.

Indeed, data and analyses therein are researched and written by experts in the field, giving subscribers access to reliable and insightful analysis.

We wish we could say that our weekly assessments will be delivered to your inbox. However, they are usually too long for that! You will need to log in to Substack to read the whole piece:)

Having access to expert analysis can inform personal opinions and help with decision-making, especially for those with a professional or academic interest in the region.

This newsletter was created by Konrad Muzyka, an independent defence analyst and the director of Rochan Consulting, which provides consultancy and advisory services on the Russian and Belarusian armed forces.

Muzyka’s work has been published by various think tanks, including Centre for Naval Analyses, Center for Strategic and International Studies, and International Centre for Defence and Security.

He has also been widely cited in the print and internet media, including in the New York Times, the Economist, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal, Spiegel, Reuters, Bloomberg, and others.

Please click here to access one of our weekly assessments.