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Julias's avatar

Also, this guy on twitter, Thomas C. Theiner, keeps writing about extra Ukrainian reserves available to enter the fight. BS?

https://twitter.com/noclador/status/1689297620601044997

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Julias's avatar

Excellent writeup and analysis, as always.

Yesterday, Ukraine hit an oil tanker in the Black Sea. For me, the way to really bring Russia to the negotiating table would be to hit oil and gas pipelines with drones. (Aren't most of these above-ground? And go on for thousands of kms?) Why have they not done this yet?

My first thought is for political reasons. You hit the gas pipelines into China, and China may well supply more aid to Russia. Possibly, they may have hit Nordstream. But, I was thinking about, why not hit a smaller gas pipeline that feeds Moscow or St. Petersburg instead? Your thoughts on the probability of this strategy?

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